Alpha Legend
2yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 54
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Leicester | 2 | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |