
C'est Lui
2yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |