Chianti
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Chepstow | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-25 | Leicester | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |