El Lambo
2yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Newbury | 5 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 11th | 6th | +4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 4 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |