Lady Of Hay

2yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Wolverhampton	6	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-08-22	Chester	4	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-08-05	Yarmouth	4	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-07-17	Newbury	4	6th	4th	+2	6.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▲

Strength94%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/07/2026	6th	11/2	71%	50%	-0.21
05/08/2026	7th	25/1	0%	33%	+0.33
22/08/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	60%	-0.22
07/09/2026	5th	11/1	42%	60%	+0.18