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7

Last Dandelion

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 59

Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless but a good second of 6 in 5f maiden at Brighton in August. Well held in the mud at Beverley (5f, heavy) 22 days ago. Makes tapeta/handicap debut with cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 125 · HIGHER CLASS30/0442 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS4/0645 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 67 · 6f3y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Bath 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f10y Fm 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 66 par15/075OR 665 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 5f6y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 62 par20/085OR 625 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 5f60y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 62 par4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 61 · 5f Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 61 par30/084OR 61projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley411th9th+2
2026-08-23Brighton52nd1st+1
2026-08-20Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2026-07-25Lingfield55th4th+1
2026-07-15Bath54th3rd+1
2026-06-26Yarmouth511th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0426/0620/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/202610th66/10%0%0.00
15/05/20265th200/10%67%+0.67
04/06/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
26/06/202611th11/271%17%-0.54
15/07/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
25/07/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
20/08/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
23/08/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
30/08/202611th8/158%17%-0.41