Mrs Mole
2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 59
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 14/09/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 47% | +0.31 |