8
Time And Effort
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 58
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Nursery · 5f 21y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength86%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Musselburgh | 2 | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/06/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |