7

Pigeon Pete

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Arguably shaped best when 1½-length second to a more-experienced one in a Musselburgh maiden (7f) on debut, the form working out a little better than might have been expected. Place claims if progressing as he's entitled to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f15y Gd 13025/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Musselburgh42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20262nd33/10%89%+0.89