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8

Reichenbach Falls

2yo Colt · 9-7

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise at big odds when 2½-lengths third of 12 on debut at Kempton (7f, 33/1). A couple in behind have boosted that form, and he's a serious player if improving as expected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13010/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Kempton43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20263rd33/10%82%+0.82