6
Barry The Worm
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kempton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 09/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 45% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |