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8

Horus

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless since sole victory in December 2024. Below par this summer and unseated rider start in classified event at Lingfield last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 29/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 60 · 6f20y Std 135 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 60 par29/116OR 606 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Sta 132 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Lingfield 22/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 55 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 55 par22/126OR 556 @ Southwell 04/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 54 · 6f16y Std 134 · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f Sta 132 · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 52 par19/016OR 526 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 51 · 6f Sta 126 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f1y Std 129 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 49 par30/046OR 496 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 47 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 46 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 46 par8/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield60
2026-08-08Lingfield68th8th0
2026-06-09Brighton66th6th0
2026-04-30Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-25Kempton69th9th0
2026-01-19Kempton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/114/0130/048/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/202511th50/10%17%+0.17
10/12/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
22/12/20254th16/116%73%+0.57
04/01/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
19/01/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
25/03/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
30/04/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
09/06/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
08/08/20268th33/10%22%+0.22