5

Joud

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 52

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Half-sister to smart 11.5f/1½m winner Star Storm. Little show first 2 starts but much better signs with fifth of 10 in novice at Newcastle (6f) 19 days ago. Suspect there is more to come now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength89%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/1153 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 1m2f190y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0634 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS2/094projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Newcastle45th3rd+2
2026-06-03Ripon34th0th+3
2025-11-27Newcastle53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/113/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +48.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/11/20253rd5/174%33%-0.40
03/06/20264th11/142%0%-0.42
02/09/20265th50/10%56%+0.56