
Joud
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 52
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 3 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-11-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +48.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 03/06/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |