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7

Maury

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made a winning return at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) in March. Made the frame next time but down the field all 4 starts since. Needs to step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 11/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 50 · 7f Std 129 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 50 par11/096OR 506 @ Chelmsford City 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m1y Std 124 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 45 par4/116OR 456 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 45 · 7f1y Std 126 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 48 · 7f36y Std 123 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 48 par8/056OR 486 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 48 · 7f135y Goo 128 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 48 · 6f210y Goo 128 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 48 par22/066OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 47 · 6f20y Std 127 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 46 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 46 par18/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-06-22Brighton69th9th0
2026-05-19Lingfield68th8th0
2026-05-08Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-03-25Lingfield61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0925/0322/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/202511th10/147%17%-0.31
16/10/20255th18/15%56%+0.50
04/11/20259th22/10%20%+0.20
25/03/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
08/05/20264th18/581%63%-0.19
19/05/20268th6/168%30%-0.38
22/06/20269th25/10%0%0.00
07/07/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
18/08/20269th14/126%27%+0.01