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3

Bungle Bay

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A 5-time C&D winner. In good form without success this season until a below-par fourth of 13 in classified event at Leicester (7f, good) in June. Freshened up since and not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 52 · 7f36y Std 127 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 52 par27/106OR 526 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 55 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 27/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark27/01/2026 · OR 55 par27/016OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 124 · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 53 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 53 par23/036OR 536 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Goo 131 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 130 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 50 par21/046OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 50 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 50 par8/066OR 50projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-08Leicester64th4th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-04-21Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-04-05Bath68th8th0
2026-03-23Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-03-03Wolverhampton610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/103/0321/048/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
27/11/20257th14/126%50%+0.24
27/01/20268th11/142%13%-0.30
03/03/202610th33/10%10%+0.10
23/03/20265th17/255%50%-0.05
05/04/20268th20/10%46%+0.46
21/04/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
02/06/20262nd11/271%89%+0.18
08/06/20264th16/583%75%-0.08