Ndoto
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 49
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |