9
Royal Justice
5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 45
Wolverhampton · Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Newcastle | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/04/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/05/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/05/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/06/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |