Moon Beginnings
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 1m 142y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Chester | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 4 | 19th | 18th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 15/05/2026 | 19th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |