Rua Mor
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 1m 142y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 7.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | BHA105 | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | ? | 13th | 17th | −3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Punchestown | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/12/2025 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |