7

Three No Trumps

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 70

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 1m 142y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise when third on 1m Kempton debut in November but not at that level all 3 runs this season, sent off 5/2 when last of 6 in maiden at Beverley (8.5f, good to firm) in June. Makes tapeta/handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength81%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 19/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS19/1123 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f43y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/0334 @ Beverley 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS23/0445 @ Beverley 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 72 · 1m100y Goo 130 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 72 par23/065OR 72projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Beverley56th6th0
2026-04-23Beverley43rd2nd+1
2026-03-28Doncaster35th3rd+2
2025-11-19Kempton23rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1128/0323/0423/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -56.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20253rd100/10%83%+0.83
28/03/20265th25/10%50%+0.50
23/04/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
23/06/20266th5/287%0%-0.87