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6

Arlecchino's Rex

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Does most of his racing at Wolverhampton, finally doubling his career tally over 9.5f in March. Added to that on first go over this trip in 9-runner handicap at Lingfield (1½m, all-weather) 11 days ago. Must enter calculations back here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 45 · 1m1f104y Std 126 · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 45 par3/036OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 49 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 30/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 49 · 1m142y Std 129 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 49 par30/036OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 49 · 1m1f104y Std 129 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 51 · 1m1f104y Std 127 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 51 par11/056OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 51 · 1m1f104y Std 126 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 50 par16/066OR 506 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 49 · 1m2f Std 130 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f Std 131 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 49 par10/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-11Lingfield67th7th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-04-17Wolverhampton62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0317/0416/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/03/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
30/03/20263rd17/255%80%+0.25
17/04/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16
11/05/20263rd6/168%80%+0.12
02/06/20267th5/174%40%-0.34
16/06/20267th4/179%33%-0.46
11/08/20267th7/163%45%-0.18
10/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39