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7

Grey Sands

3yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored at Southwell (1m) for Joseph O'Brien in January. Below that form in 4 runs for his current yard though and pulled up on hurdling debut at Fontwell last time. Not easy to warm to.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 1317/11C8C0 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 131C8 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Std 13319/11C8BHA51 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 51 · 1m Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Southwell 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 1m13y Std 131 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 51 par23/016OR 516 @ Lingfield 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 1m2f Std 132 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m3f99y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 61 par18/055OR 616 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m31y GF 133 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m1y Std 132 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 57 par18/086OR 57projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell4+2
2026-08-18Lingfield65th5th0
2026-06-22Windsor65th5th0
2026-05-18Windsor57th6th+1
2026-04-14Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-01-23Southwell61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1113/0118/0518/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/202513th28/10%0%0.00
14/11/202513th100/10%0%0.00
19/11/20257th125/10%14%+0.14
13/01/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
23/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
14/04/20263rd5/493%67%-0.27
18/05/20267th25/10%0%0.00
22/06/20265th14/126%56%+0.29
18/08/20265th9/153%33%-0.19