4

Highland Harvey
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52
Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |