11

Keeper Of Secrets

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains winless and he came in only eighth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (11.5f, good) a week ago. Usual cheekpieces are replaced by first-time visor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 07/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m3f23y Std 129 · beat its mark07/02/2025 · OR 50 par7/026OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 13/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 44 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 44 par23/026OR 446 @ Lingfield 05/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 121 · beat its mark05/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 44 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 44 par17/036OR 446 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 46 par13/076OR 466 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m3y GF 135 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m3f99y Goo 126 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 45 par14/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor68th8th0
2026-08-14Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-07-13Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-25Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-03-05Lingfield64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/025/0313/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/202510th125/10%10%+0.10
13/02/20268th28/10%30%+0.30
23/02/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
05/03/20264th22/10%25%+0.25
17/03/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
25/03/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
13/07/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
14/08/20265th50/10%56%+0.56
14/09/20268th22/10%30%+0.30