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10

Late Claim

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came on handicap bow at Lingfield last December. Looked back in form when third switched to classified company at Ayr in June but little impact back in handicaps last 2 starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 48 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 48 par10/036OR 485 @ Southwell 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 49 · 1m4f14y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m4f14y Std 124 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 49 par5/046OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m4f51y Std 129 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 48 · 1m4f51y Std 124 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 48 par21/046OR 486 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 47 · 1m3f99y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Ayr 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m5f26y Sft 135 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 47 par19/066OR 476 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m4f51y Std 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m4f14y Std 127 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 47 par23/076OR 47projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell68th8th0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-06-19Ayr64th4th0
2026-06-08Windsor64th4th0
2026-04-21Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-04-10Wolverhampton68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0310/0419/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
21/03/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
05/04/202610th14/126%0%-0.26
10/04/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
21/04/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
08/06/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
19/06/20264th13/266%63%-0.03
14/07/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
23/07/20268th16/116%13%-0.03