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3

Lawmans Blis

8yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 53

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored for Joey Ramsden at Catterick in May and bagged a fifth win here (over C&D) on first run for Jessica Macey in August. Posted a good third of 9 to Satyress at Newcastle 18 days ago. Can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 46 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 46 par16/016OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 45 par31/016OR 456 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m6f21y Std 147 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 45 · 1m4f13y Gd 126 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 45 par11/056OR 456 @ Newcastle 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m2f42y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 50 · 1m3f179y Goo 126 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 50 par13/066OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 49 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f98y Std 134 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 49 par3/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle63rd3rd0
2026-08-26Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-06-13Leicester66th6th0
2026-06-02Newcastle64th4th0
2026-05-11Catterick61st1st0
2026-04-30Southwell66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0130/0413/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/01/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
26/01/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
31/01/20266th22/10%29%+0.29
30/04/20266th4/179%50%-0.29
11/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
02/06/20264th10/382%75%-0.07
13/06/20266th9/276%38%-0.39
26/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
03/09/20263rd5/174%75%+0.01