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12

Make It Up

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Book Now At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort when second in Lingfield classified event (1½m, all-weather) in July but well-held seventh of 9 back there 11 days ago. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS24/0955 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m13y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/1056 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 45 · 1m1f104y Std 121 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Kempton 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 45 · 1m3f219y Sta 117 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 45 par30/046OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m4f51y Std 121 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 43 · 1m4f1y Std 123 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 43 par13/076OR 436 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 124 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 50 par10/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield67th7th0
2026-07-13Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-04-30Kempton63rd3rd0
2026-04-10Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2025-10-24Southwell511th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0910/0413/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/202511th150/10%0%0.00
09/10/20259th50/10%11%+0.11
24/10/202511th200/10%23%+0.23
10/04/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
30/04/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
02/06/20265th17/255%43%-0.12
13/07/20262nd2/189%92%+0.02
10/09/20267th9/488%25%-0.63