Cosmic Clarets
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 62
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 6f 20y
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hamilton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Redcar | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Thirsk | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 04/08/2025 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/08/2025 | 15th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/09/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 24/09/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 62% | -0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |