Daytona Lady
6yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 6f 20y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |