Far Too Fizzy
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 63
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 6f 20y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 9/5 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 10% | -0.66 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |