1

Midnight Call

5yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 65

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap · 6f 20y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort who registered sixth course victory of the year when successful over C&D in May. Straight back on track returned to the all-weather last time, finishing 2 lengths second in 5f handicap here. Needs considering in a slightly easier event, though the draw hasn't been kind.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 50 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 50 par23/016OR 506 @ Wolverhampton 27/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 140 · beat its mark27/01/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 56 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 56 par23/026OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 54 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 54 par9/046OR 545 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 5f21y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 5f21y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 62 par18/055OR 625 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 5f21y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 65 par7/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton52nd1st+1
2026-06-05Goodwood510th9th+1
2026-05-18Wolverhampton51st0th+1
2026-04-21Wolverhampton54th3rd+1
2026-04-09Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-03-23Wolverhampton65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0123/0318/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/01/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
23/02/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
23/03/20265th7/282%50%-0.32
09/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
21/04/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
18/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
05/06/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
07/09/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24