14:23 · Musselburgh

Dropkicks Split The G Nursery

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
3
OR 72
4/1
Deputy Vice silks

Caspian Racing Limited

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Mehmas - Second Glance (Galileo)

Rhys Elliott60%0/2−5lbR Menzies60%
34436
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Mehmas gelding made a promising debut when third in 6f novice at Chester in May. Has failed to build on it in 4 subsequent starts, however, including on nursery debut when sixth of 13 at Ayr (6f, soft) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/058/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength98%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%30/05Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 0%8/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%27/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%3/09Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%18/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.8%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 73
3/1
Rock Steady Beat silks

Mr Peter Watson & Mrs E Burke

2yo Gelding · 9-8

Minzaal - Rugged Up (Marju)

C Lee70%1/4K R Burke60%
52361
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Bounced back from 2 poor efforts when getting off the mark in 7-runner seller at Redcar (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Not out of things now going handicapping.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%14/05Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 86%9/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%20/06Pos 6 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 6 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 29%5/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.8%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 74
6/1
Brandenburg silks

Mr T S Ingham

2yo Colt · 9-9

Ubettabelieveit - Unveiling (Mayson)

P Mulrennan60%Mrs A Duffield
01210
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Winner of 5f Beverley maiden in May (for Stephen Hanlon) and 6f Hamilton novice in July (for Noel Wilson). Had worst of draw when twelfth of 18 in nursery at York (6f, good) last month for another new yard. Well worth another chance.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/034/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 21%28/03Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%4/05Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 86%11/07Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 35%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +56.6%Ahead 4/4
8
Top Pick1
OR 67
7/1
Inns And Out silks

S Bulmer, P Hebdon & Partner

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Inns Of Court - Keska (Iffraaj)

Jason Hart60%1/2T D Easterby
369130
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Landed maiden over C&D in August. Backed that up when third in 7f Beverley nursery but failed to beat a rival in another nursery at Ayr (6f, soft) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par25/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par18/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%18/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 27%24/07Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%30/08Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%18/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.4%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 72
11/2
The First Drop silks

Garry Wilson And Partner

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Lope Y Fernandez - Patricia Grey (Havana Grey)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/2A Keatley60%
285
5.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Shaped well on his debut when a clear second in 7f Carlisle maiden in June. Well below that form both runs since though, gelded before coming in fifth of 13 in novice at Ripon (1m, good to firm) last month. Cheekpieces are now reached for on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0624/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0715/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength87%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 90%24/06Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%15/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.7%Ahead 2/3
1
8
OR 74
10/1
Sir Sirius silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Starman - Invincible Me (Invincible Spirit)

K Stott70%K A Ryan70%
9630
3.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Fair form in a trio of novices in early summer. Off 11 weeks (gelded) before coming in tenth of 15 on nursery bow at Doncaster (6f, good to firm) 19 days ago. Plenty more is needed in first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0531/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0525/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0611/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%14/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%31/05Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%25/06Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%11/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 68
16/1
Beauty For Love silks

Mr M Doyle

2yo Colt · 9-3

Blue Point - Rosie Cotton (King's Best)

S H James70%C Johnston60%
73637
4.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1

Fair form in a trio of runs over 6f this summer. Came in last of 7 in nursery at Carlisle (5f, good to firm) last month however so bounce back is needed in a first-time hood.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0520/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%3/05Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%20/06Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%17/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 69
6/1
Sovereigns High silks

Mr Clarence Bennie Robinson

2yo Colt · 9-4

Ten Sovereigns - High Gloss (Invincible Spirit)

Rhys Clutterbuck60%0/1R M Beckett80%
38386
3.0

Best effort when third in 6f Chester maiden in August. Has failed to build on it in nursery company since, sixth of 11 back at Chester (7f, heavy) 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0613/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%29/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%13/07Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%26/08Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%19/09
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 1/4