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13:20 · Sligo

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Beginners Chase

2m 1f 153yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 124
7/4
Future Prospect silks

Mrs John Magnier & Bronsan Racing

Future Prospect

6yo Mare · 11-7

Order Of St George - Mhuire Na Gale (Norwich)

Paul Townend70%1/3W P Mullins60%
43F222
7.0Going 10.0

Bumper/hurdle winner who has shown fairly useful form when runner-up on all 3 completed starts over fences, most recently to a talented stablemate at Tramore (2¾m, good to firm) 45 day ago. Won't be inconvenienced by the marked drop back in trip. The one beat.

Class Advantage

9/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/015/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%9/01Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%30/04Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%22/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%16/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.0%Ahead 0/4
1
3
4/1
Amen Kate silks

Ciaran John Mooney & John Francis Ryan

Amen Kate

6yo Mare · 11-7

Flemensfirth - Augusta Kate (Yeats)

Daniel KingT Cooper
31R10P
6.0Going 8.0

Likeable and straightforward mare who won a 2m mares listed novice hurdle at Thurles (good to soft) last December. Found it harder in graded company in the spring but still rates a good chase prospect.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a6/0430/04 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a25/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/12 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%6/04Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%25/09Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%12/03
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.4%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav2
6/4
Sixandahalf silks

Best of the Rest Syndicate

Sixandahalf

6yo Mare · 11-7

Snow Sky - Mandasini (Dr Massini)

Keith Donoghue60%1/4G P Cromwell80%
123240
4.0Going 10.0

Useful hurdler. Off since finishing well held in the County at the Cheltenham Festival in March. Has the ability to make an impact in these sort of races but isn't the biggest.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/054/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par28/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par24/10 · C14 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par29/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par13/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/03projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 78%1/05Pos 11 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 11 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 17%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 41%28/09Pos 2 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%29/12Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 17 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 27%13/03
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.9%Ahead 0/4
5
5
10/1
Miss Fourie silks

Ms Aisling Molloy

Miss Fourie

9yo Mare · 11-7

Yeats - Present Venture (Presenting)

Jack Kennedy60%G Elliott60%
77F643
3.0
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful hurdler for Peter Fahey but showed her quirky side in her 4 outings last year. Better effort over fences when third in Grade 3 novice at Roscommon on Monday, likely to have won but for a bad mistake and almost unseating her rider at the last.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/115/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par30/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par27/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par16/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/09 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%1/11Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%30/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%16/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%28/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 105
14/1
Herja silks

Gerry McGladery

Herja

6yo Mare · 11-7

Policy Maker - Crofton Trail (Heron Island)

Harry Sexton0/5−7lbMrs P Griffin60%
232623
6.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Fair chaser but likely vulnerable to higher-rated rivals kept to maiden company.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/044/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par21/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%20/04Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%23/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 95%28/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 2/4
4
6
33/1
Kelya silks

K Haughey

Kelya

6yo Mare · 11-7

Kapgarde - Toccata Vallis (Ballingarry)

Donagh Meyler0/1E Mullins
521375
3.0

Fair winning hurdler in France in 2024. Hasn't shown a great deal on either start for current connections, including when always behind on last month's Wexford chase debut after a long absence.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0830/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/1013/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a13/038/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%18/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%30/10Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%13/03Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%8/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.2%Ahead 3/4