11:45 · Vaal

www.tab.co.za Open Mr 97 Handicap (3 Year Olds)

5f 212yGoing TBC3YO onlyTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 85
3/1
Whatsdamatterwithu silks

Hollywood Racing (nom: Mr A Delpech)

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Fire Away - Mary Lou (Rich Man's Gold)

Craig Zackey70%Clinton Binda60%
631132
7.0Going 10.0

Latest win at Turffontein in July. 5/1, good second of 6 in handicap at Turffontein (6f, good) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/0323/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 67%29/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%12/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.2%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 85
3/1
Gone Cold silks

Messrs G C Cornwall, G A Basel & L Clark

3yo Colt · 9-3

Gimmethegreenlight - Frosted Steel (Captain Al)

Calvin Habib70%0/2Alec Laird60%
321
8.0

1 win from 3 runs this year. 46/100, won 13-runner minor event at Turffontein (5.8f, good). Off 138 days. Makes handicap debut. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage

5/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0321/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/0316/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%5/03Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%21/03Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%16/05
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.4%Ahead 1/3
6
Value2
OR 86
12/1
Staggerwing silks

Assm Racing Syndicate (nom: Mr A Chadha)

3yo Filly · 8-11

Rafeef - All Of Me (Var)

Callan Murray70%1/6Mike/mathe Kock
224122
8.0Class ↓4Going 9.0

Course winner. Winner here in May. 15/10, good second of 5 in minor event at Turffontein (5.5f, good) 72 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0114/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength31%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%29/01Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%7/03Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 86%9/07Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%21/07
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.6%Ahead 0/4
2
5
OR 85
8/1
Sands Of Valhalla silks

Messrs M J Kapnias & A M Kapnias

3yo Colt · 9-4

Erik The Red - Circle In The Sand (Gimmethegreenlight)

Kabelo Matsunyane60%Tony Peter60%
2173
7.0Class ↓5

C&D winner. Winner here in May. Creditable third of 7 in handicap at Turffontein (8f, good, 18/10) 19 days ago. Back down in trip. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0421/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0526/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0712/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength32%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%21/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%26/07Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%12/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 3/4
1
Market Fav6
OR 79
5/2
Trompe L'oeil silks

Messrs R P Macnab, S Poriazis, D Dasrath & Mrs C D

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Gimmethegreenlight - Mirage (Captain Al)

Blaine Marx-jacobson60%Xander/cor Spies60%
12162
7.0Going 9.0

Course winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Latest win here in August. 3/1, good second of 7 in minor event at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/071/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 6 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 6 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 0%29/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%10/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.3%Ahead 1/4
5
4
OR 81
16/1
Impressive silks

Tkp Racing (nom: Trevelen Pillay)

3yo Filly · 8-11

Erik The Red - Kissimmee (Jet Master)

M Yeni80%0/2Paul Matchett60%
234138
6.0Class ↓5

Course winner. Winner here in June. 8¼ lengths eighth of 10 to Marchland in Gr 2 at Greyville (8f, good, 33/1) 67 days ago. Back down in trip. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0416/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%19/04Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 73%30/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%5/07Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%26/07
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
8
7
7/1
Navigatrix silks

Kebashni Aryan Pillay & Tkp Racing (nom: Trevelen

3yo Filly · 8-9

Vercingetorix - Flight Zone (Jet Master)

Philasande Mxoli60%1/1Paul Matchett60%
13
8.0

C&D winner. 1 win from 2 runs this year. Winner here in July. 7/2, third of 10 in handicap at Turffontein (6f, good) 4 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0727/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a27/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 212y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%27/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 1/2