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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Claiming

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
3
OR 73
4/1
Axcel silks

Ebenezer Racing, Llc And Lopez, Juana

Axcel

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Bahamian Squall - Imperial Code (Imperialism)

Mauro Cedillo60%1/7Jacinto Lopez60%
632512
8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/042/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%22/04Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%5/08Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%1/09Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%9/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 3/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 70
3/1
Game Performer silks

Namir Zaiber

Game Performer

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Game Winner - Sweetness 'n Light (Distorted Humor)

Erik Barbaran60%1/5Michael Rone60%
532481
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/0624/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%9/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%21/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.3%Ahead 1/4
2
Market Fav2
OR 72
5/2
Spice Bag silks

Shane Meyers

Spice Bag

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Summer Front - Merry Merry Bee (Purim)

Alexander Chavez60%1/5Shane Meyers
752122
8.0

Class Advantage

1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/093/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par5/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%1/09Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%28/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%13/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%5/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.4%Ahead 2/4
5
5
OR 69
8/1
Follow Your Dream silks

Delia Romero

Follow Your Dream

7yo Gelding · 8-7

Kantharos - Trompe L' Oeil (Bluegrass Cat)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%0/1Richard Genovese
365566
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/093/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%15/09Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%1/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%20/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.1%Ahead 4/4
4
4
OR 70
6/1
Eileen's Desperado silks

Carol Rettele

Eileen's Desperado

6yo Gelding · 8-7

Baptistry - Taurus Gift (Monetary Gift)

David Haldar1/1Loren Huepenbecker60%
672120
6.0

Class Advantage

18/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par18/112/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%18/11Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%24/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%20/08Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 10 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 10%9/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.9%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 74
5/1
A Cab On The Rocks silks

Marco Ccamaque

A Cab On The Rocks

3yo Colt · 8-5

Vino Rosso - Big Carat (Nyquist)

Jason Simpson60%Marco Ccamaque
155124
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

3/10 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a3/106/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/12 · mark par4/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par29/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par12/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%3/10Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%4/01Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%17/05
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 72
10/1
Admiral Nelson silks

Barbara Madrigal

Admiral Nelson

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Lord Nelson - Our Lesmis (Yes It's True)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/1Raquel Castro
943375
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/0511/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%13/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 14%20/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%9/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.6%Ahead 1/4