12:20 · Gowran Park

Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed)

2m 60yGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 150
5/2
Gaucher silks

Mrs Rose Boyd & Mrs Marie J Armstrong

7yo Gelding · 11-9

Frankel - Left Hand (Dubawi)

Paul Townend70%2/7W P Mullins60%
144451
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Smart hurdler who ran a fine race in last year's Galway Hurdle prior to resuming winning ways in Grade 3 at Tipperary, albeit fortunate on the day. Has shown equally smart form on the Flat this year, including when fourth in Group 3 at Leopardstown 3 weeks ago. Much respected back over hurdles.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par5/1227/02 · C10 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par16/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par6/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par12/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%5/12Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%3/04Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%6/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%12/09
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-283/100
3
Value2
OR 126
6/1
Ebony King silks

Ladies Choice Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Berkshire - Une Lavandiere (Laveron)

Cian Quirke60%1/2A Slattery
11F2
7.0Going 9.0

Showed good speed when winning a bumper/maiden hurdle last summer. Acquitted himself well when runner-up in a Grade 2 at Fairyhouse in April and showed improved form when opening his account on the level in 1¾m at Listowel last week. Interesting back over hurdles.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/072/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par12/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 89%13/02Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%25/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-635/100
6
3
OR 131
10/1
Samui silks

Allan Snow

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Siyouni - Appearance (Galileo)

Danny Gilligan60%1/2G Elliott80%
170725
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Showed the benefit of a recent run on the level when second of 6 in conditions event at Down Royal (3m, good) in August. Not in the same form at Galway, however, and this return to 2m isn't sure to suit.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/0621/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par12/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par21/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par28/08 · C13 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par7/09 · C13 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 87%17/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%12/07Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%28/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 6
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%2-652/100
5
4
OR 126
6/1
Mister Pessimistic silks

Niall O'Leary

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Westerner - Gracemount (Beneficial)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%1/4H De Bromhead80%
111698
3.0
Tongue strap

Point winner who also scored on first 2 starts under Rules, a bumper at Listowel before landing the odds in maiden hurdle at Cork. Found out in top novice company next 2 outings but was again below form back in calmer waters at Punchestown when last seen in April.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a25/092/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a29/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/04projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%25/09Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%27/12Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%1/02Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%29/04
Projected finish4th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%2-649/100
2
5
OR 129
16/1
Balko D'ange silks

Ms Patricia Hogan

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Balko - Rue Cler (High Rock)

Brian Hayes60%1/7P Fenton
13F6F0
3.0Going 8.0

Useful hurdler who was running well before the turn of the year, including when winning at Navan. This year's efforts not as inspiring, though, and didn't appear to be making up much ground when throwing in a trademark mistake in the heat of the race at Punchestown on latest outing in April.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/101/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par17/11 · C12 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par27/12 · C13 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par28/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%5/10Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%17/11Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 72%1/02Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 35%28/04
Projected finish5th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%2-474/100
4
Market Fav6
OR 143
6/5
El Cairos silks

Mrs L Rabson & BJM Limited

6yo Gelding · 11-2

No Risk At All - Linda Queen (Linda's Lad)

Jack Kennedy60%1/4G Elliott
2F1547
4.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Created a good impression over hurdles last season, winning a maiden at Thurles before finishing fifth in the Supreme at Cheltenham. Disappointing in Grade 1 at Punchestown in April but shaped well fitted with a tongue tie on his handicap debut at Galway (2m) in July and has leading claims.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/031/05 · C13 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/03 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 60y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%12/03Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/5 | Actual: 100%29/01Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 57%28/04Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 68%30/07
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-551/100