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14:40 · Gowran Park

Like A Butterfly Novice Chase (Grade 3)

2m 4fGoing TBCClass 14YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market Fav2
7/4
Vicar Street silks

John P McManus & Mrs John Magnier

Vicar Street

7yo Gelding · 10-13

Galileo - Vroum Vroum Mag (Voix Du Nord)

Harry Cobden70%1/1W P Mullins60%
41231
8.0Going 9.0
Tongue strap

Lightly-raced winning hurdler. Built on chasing debut promise with emphatic success in 9-runner novice at Galway (23f, good to soft) in July. That form has worked out well, and he's a big player for yard with excellent record in this.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/087/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 4 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 75%1/08Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%29/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%6/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish1st of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-277/100
1
Top Pick1
OR 139
5/1
Shadow Paddy silks

Complete Package Syndicate

Shadow Paddy

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Shadow Gate - Supreme Island (Heron Island)

Simon Torrens60%1/1E McCarthy
11P111
9.0
Tongue strap

Prolific over hurdles last season, winning 4 times, and has taken his form to another level over fences this season, going 3-3 in Grade 3 event at Galway (2¼m, good to soft) in July. This likeable type returns from a break with more to offer.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/0825/09 · C11 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par18/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par21/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%27/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%18/10Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%30/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-464/100
4
4
2/1
Frankie John silks

M G Hogan & John Mahon

Frankie John

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Walk In The Park - The Crown Jewel (Stowaway)

Daniel King60%1/4D Hogan
155481
6.0Going 10.0

Very useful hurdler who posted an excellent fourth in Grade 1 Sefton Hurdle at Aintree (3m) in April. Made a pleasing start over fences with success in maiden at Galway (2¼m, good to soft) in July. Open to progress, especially back over further.

Class Advantage

29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/129/01 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/01 · mark par2/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below2/02 · mark par10/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par28/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%29/12Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%2/02Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 46%29/04Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%28/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-190/100
6
3
OR 125
12/1
Kilbarry Saint silks

Mrs Con O'Keeffe & Tadhg O'Sullivan & Anthony O'Keeffe

Kilbarry Saint

7yo Mare · 10-6

Saint Des Saints - Oekaki (Martillo)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%1/8C O'Keeffe
453123
7.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Gained a belated first win over fences in maiden at Clonmel (2½m) in March and backed it up with solid placed efforts at Fairyhouse and Punchestown following month. Has gone well fresh so needs considering after a layoff.

Class Advantage

23/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par23/117/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par18/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par26/03 · C13 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par4/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par29/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%23/11Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%18/02Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%4/04Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 85%29/04
Projected finish4th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%2-474/100
2
5
7/1
Bowensonfire silks

KTDA Racing

Bowensonfire

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Gemix - Amulet (Lauro)

Jack Kennedy60%3/12G Elliott
107423
6.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Hood

Smart winning 2m hurdler. Made a promising start over fences when second at Galway in July. Below that level when third of 5 in beginners chase at Killarney (17f, good) following month but remains likely to do better.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par1/0213/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par6/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par2/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par28/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%1/02Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%6/04Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%28/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%2-652/100
3
6
10/1
D Art D Art silks

Ciaran John Mooney

D Art D Art

7yo Gelding · 10-13

Jeu St Eloi - Fleur Du Brizais (Trempolino)

Ricky Doyle1/3T Cooper
80P901
5.0Class ↓1

Developed into a useful staying handicap hurdler during 2024/25 and having been out of sorts last season proved revitalised for the switch to fences with a narrow success in 23f beginners chase at Wexford in May. Not out of things after a break.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C2 · finish vs mark below15/12 · mark par15/1213/03 · C1 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par3/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par22/02 · C13 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par5/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par7/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%15/12Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%3/05Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 28%5/04Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%7/05
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-564/100