15:15 · Gowran Park

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Captain Christy Rated Novice Chase

3mGoing TBC5YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
3/1
Quantum Quest silks

Simon Munir & Isaac Souede

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Idaho - Blackwater Mist (Scorpion)

J J Slevin2/7H De Bromhead70%
115201
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓7
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful staying hurdler, successful twice last season when also runner-up in Grade 3 novice at Cork. After 2 months off, made a winning chasing debut at Punchestown in June, though had things go his way. Could be in the mix with cheekpieces soon back on.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/0829/09 · C11 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par25/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par7/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/12 · mark par11/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par6/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%25/10Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%11/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%6/06
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-190/100
1
Market Fav2
OR 127
13/8
Fou De Toi silks

Mrs J Donnelly

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Motivator - Finella (Kingsalsa)

Paul Townend70%1/3W P Mullins70%
3P2721
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓7
Cheek pieces

Maiden hurdler who has proved a different proposition sent chasing the last twice, runner-up in maiden at Ballinrobe in August before going one better in first-time cheekpieces at Kilbeggan (2½m). Leading contender with this step back up in trip promising to suit.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0212/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par2/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par24/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 77%5/02Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%3/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%24/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-188/100
4
3
13/2
Blue Mosque silks

High Spirits Racing Club

6yo Mare · 11-3

Berkshire - Lobinstown Girl (Luso)

Donagh Meyler60%1/7N Meade
200421
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓7

Improved over hurdles when runner-up in handicap at Fairyhouse in April, before progressing again when landing 24-runner listed handicap at Punchestown (23f) later the same month. Task is now to transfer that form to fences after 5 months off.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C13 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/0429/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par1/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par8/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par6/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par30/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%30/04Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%1/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 81%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%6/04Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%30/04
Projected finish3rd of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-552/100
2
4
OR 124
4/1
Ma Jacks Hill silks

Gigginstown House Stud

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Famous Name - Peig Alainn (Milan)

Kevin Healy60%0/1−7lbG Elliott80%
531852
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓7
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Made his second chase start a winning one in 2½m novice at Punchestown in June. After a couple of below par efforts, fared better when second of 5 in novice at Wexford (19f) 5 weeks ago, though was again reluctant at the start.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/0421/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par8/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%16/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%8/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%28/08
Projected finish4th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%1-464/100
6
5
OR 121
10/1
No Time To Wait silks

Ms Caroline Ahearn

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Walk In The Park - Stephanie Frances (King's Theatre)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%0/2J C McConnell70%
2U04PP
4.0Class ↓7
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Remains a maiden over fences and is prone to mistakes. Made the frame in novice at Fairyhouse (3¼m) in February, despite making errors, but pulled up in handicaps at Cheltenham and Punchestown since. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/0211/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par11/07 · C13 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par27/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par21/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/02projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%1/02Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%8/06Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 67%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 56%27/12Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%21/02
Projected finish5th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-552/100
5
6
OR 119
6/1
Killaney King silks

Lenbour

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Flemensfirth - Liss Na Tintri (Presenting)

Danny Gilligan60%R O'Sullivan
538326
4.0Going 8.0

Point winner but still looking for a breakthrough Rules success. However, good second in handicap chase at Fairyhouse in April and, making first run since leaving Henry de Bromhead, was left with too much to do when sixth of 15 in Connacht National at Roscommon in June. Respected.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par17/1114/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par17/01 · C12 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par3/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par8/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%17/11Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 42%17/01Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 94%6/04Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%8/06
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-464/100