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22:20 · Keeneland

Race 10 - Castle & Key Bourbon Stakes - Grade 2

1m 110yGoing TBC2YO onlyTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 91
4/1
Agate silks

Dede McGehee

Agate

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 2

Karakontie - More Than Gracious (More Than Ready)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Kelsey Danner
613
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a21/055/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/079/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%21/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 82%9/09
Projected finish1st of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%2-566/100
8
Market Fav5
OR 71
5/2
Hemingway silks

Winstar Farm Llc, First Go Racing And Chc, Inc

Hemingway

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 8

Constitution - Havana Dream (Quality Road)

Flavien Prat60%1/1B Cox60%
81
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a8/086/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲6
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-171/100
6
4
OR 88
6/1
Popcorn silks

Robert LaPenta

Popcorn

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 6

Catholic Boy - Zia (Munnings)

Axel Concepcion60%1/1Jonathan Thomas
11
8.0

Class Advantage

14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a14/077/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%3-371/100
9
Value2
OR 88
15/1
Blaring Ambition silks

David Staudacher

Blaring Ambition

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 9

Highly Motivated - Toots (Bodemeister)

John Velazquez60%Michael Maker
1
10.0

Class Advantage

9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-450/100
11
8
OR 87
10/1
Mid American silks

Doubledown Stables, Inc

Mid American

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 11

Epicenter - Wampum Girl (Exchange Rate)

Jaime Torres60%2/2James DiVito
711
6.0

Class Advantage

17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/079/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/0829/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%17/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-657/100
10
6
OR 88
20/1
Let Em Know silks

Tate, Anthony, Pickerrell, Joe, B And E Racing And Diamond T Racing Llc

Let Em Know

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 10

Jackie's Warrior - America's Tale (Gio Ponti)

Jareth Loveberry60%Whitworth Beckman
615
7.0

Class Advantage

18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/0716/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/0812/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/093/10 · C0 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/10projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%12/09Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%3/10
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-849/100
5
3
OR 89
10/1
Real Goodbar silks

Bayview Stables, Edwards, Mark And Trout, Mike

Real Goodbar

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 5

Authentic - Bold Confection (Candy Ride)

Jose Ortiz60%Kenneth McPeek
14
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

10/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a10/0712/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%10/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%9-971/100
1
7
OR 90
30/1
Trim Castle silks

John Ennis

Trim Castle

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 1

Collected - Rouge (Quality Road)

D E Sheehy60%J Ennis
923135
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a16/0428/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par25/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%16/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%19/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%9/09
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%2-1137/100
7
11
OR 70
20/1
Mad Mo silks

Mark Arnold

Mad Mo

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 7

Mo Donegal - Line Of Vision (Court Vision)

Alex Achard60%1/3J Ennis
7821
5.0

Class Advantage

12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a12/065/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/074/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/0825/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲6
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%12/06Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%5/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%4/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%7-878/100
3
9
OR 92
7/2
Bold Leadership silks

Repole Stable And St Elias Stables Llc

Bold Leadership

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 3

Not This Time - Sweetened (Candy Ride)

Irad Ortiz Jr60%Todd Pletcher
22
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a8/085/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%8/08Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%11-1171/100
4
10
OR 93
15/1
Heracles silks

David Romanik

Heracles

2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 4

Seeking The Soul - Raki (Two Step Salsa)

Luis Saez60%Ronald Spatz
13
5.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/077/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%11-1171/100