17:35 · Leopardstown

Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3)

1m 4fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 10711/8
Endorsement silks

John P McManus

3yo Colt · 8-13

Wootton Bassett - Embellish (Galileo)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%J P O'Brien
282312
9.0Going 10.0

Close second to subsequent Derby winner Christmas Day in the Ballysax on return and had no trouble landing the odds in listed event at Leopardstown in June. Decent second in Hampton Court at Royal Ascot since and has since left Aidan O'Brien.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a11/1026/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par12/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par10/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par4/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par18/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%11/10Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%12/04Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 89%18/06
Projected finish1st of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
2
OR 1069/1
Layfayette silks

Mrs Patricia Hunt

9yo Gelding · 9-9

French Navy - Scala Romana (Holy Roman Emperor)

Colin Keane60%3/18N Meade60%
671621
7.0
Cheek pieces

Best effort for a while when winning heavy-ground listed event at Limerick 7 weeks ago but looks vulnerable in this stronger race back on faster going.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/0821/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par3/04 · C10 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par25/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par29/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par19/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move3
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%3/04Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%29/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/06
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 986/1
Ascending silks

C Jones

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Awtaad - Midnight Martini (Night Shift)

Billy Lee60%3/6H De Bromhead80%
112670
3.0

Progressive in 2025, bagging the 2½m Ascot Stakes at the Royal Meeting before an excellent second to Ethical Diamond in the Ebor at York. Not at that level both starts this year but shaped better than the bare result in the Copper Horse at Royal Ascot last time.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/0517/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par23/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par28/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move4
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%6/05Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 95%23/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%1/05Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%16/06
Projected finish3rd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 10918/1
Green Impact silks

Marcstown Farms SC

4yo Colt · 9-9

Wootton Bassett - Emerald Green (Galileo)

Shane Foley60%3/9Mrs J Harrington70%
616444
5.0

Highly tried since winning Golden Fleece here as a 2-y-o but he did pick up a 9f listed race here last summer. Once again came up short at the top level when 8¾ lengths fourth in the Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh when last seen in May but he's capable of making an impact at this level.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par3/055/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par29/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par26/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par19/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par24/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par24/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%3/05Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%29/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%19/04Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%24/05
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
7
OR 11817/2
Ethical Diamond silks

H O S Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Awtaad - Pearl Diamond (Areion)

R L Moore60%1/2W P Mullins60%
411159
5.0
Hood

Had a terrific 2025, winning all 3 starts, namely Duke of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot, Ebor at York, and the Breeders' Cup Turf at Del Mar. Not at best either start this year but can resume winning ways back markedly in class.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/0420/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par23/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par1/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 45%12/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%28/03Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 27%20/06
Projected finish5th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
6
OR 10012/1
Asakir silks

Exors of the Late H H Aga Khan

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Zarak - Askerana (Pivotal)

Ben Coen70%1/3J P Murtagh60%
3127
5.0
Cheek pieces

Zarak gelding from the family of top-class winner up to 1½m Azamour. Stepped up on debut to win 1¼m maiden here before a good second in listed race at Navan. Didn't do himself justice in Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot since (raced freely). May resume progress back down in trip.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0315/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0416/05 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a16/0517/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move4
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%28/03Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%15/04Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%16/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%17/06
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
8
OR 9912/1
Omni Man silks

Go Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Invincible Spirit - Pretty Face (Rainbow Quest)

J M Sheridan60%0/2J P O'Brien60%
163985
2.0
Tongue strap

Won twice on turf last season, including handicap at Glorious Goodwood. Back to form when fifth of 17 in Duke of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot but has work to do back at this level.

Class Advantage

30/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/0714/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par26/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par19/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/04 · mark par10/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%30/07Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%26/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%10/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%19/06
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 10818/1
Gaucher silks

Mrs Rose Boyd & Mrs Marie J Armstrong

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Frankel - Left Hand (Dubawi)

Declan McDonoghW P Mullins70%
141120
4.0
Tongue strap

Smart dual-purpose performer who landed a Grade 3 hurdle in October and in good form on all-weather thereafter, successful twice at Dundalk prior to finishing an excellent second in Easter Classic at Newcastle in April. Always behind in Wolferton at Royal Ascot since but he's better than that.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/1028/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par5/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par27/02 · C10 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par16/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%5/10Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%5/12Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%3/04Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%16/06
Projected finish8th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
9
OR 10033/1
Dallas Star silks

AMO Racing Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Cloth Of Stars - Agathe Rare (Sadler's Wells)

Donagh O'Connor0/5Robson Aguiar
332547
3.0

Plenty of useful efforts in defeat but highly unlikely to be ending his losing run at this level.

Class Advantage

27/02 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par27/023/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par25/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par15/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move3
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%27/02Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%25/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%29/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%20/06
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend