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16:04 · Southwell

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1)

1m 14yGoing TBCClass 63YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 537/1
Distillation silks

Miss M Austin & M Usher

Distillation

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Charm Spirit - Much Better (Exceed And Excel)

R Havlin60%1/2M D I Usher
609241
6.0Going 8.0

Showed improved form to get off the mark in 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (7f, 7/1) 16 days ago, just holding on having set a sound gallop. Likely to stay 1m and a 3 lb rise may not be enough to prevent the follow up.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/1024/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%24/10Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%4/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%17/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%21/07
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 5333/1
Miss Mambo silks

Premier Thoroughbred Racing Ltd

Miss Mambo

3yo Filly · 9-7

Elzaam - Miss Fifty (Whipper)

Jack Callan60%Miss Gay Kelleway60%
073676
3.0
Blinkers

Ran about as well as could be expected in first-time blinkers when sixth of 11 in maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 39 days ago, having run of race. Each-way claims if reproducing that effort back in handicap company.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/066/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 13 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%26/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%17/04Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%2/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%28/06
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
2
OR 4715/2
Mist Of Time silks

Kingsmead Bloodstock Limited

Mist Of Time

3yo Filly · 9-1

Time Test - I Remember You (Australia)

L Morris70%W J Knight80%
005843
4.0

Has yet to better poor form, finishing third of 7 in minor event (15/2) at Brighton (1¼m, good to firm) on latest start.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/097/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%20/09Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 56%30/10Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%7/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 5112/1
Athenian Spirit silks

Mr R Pallas

Athenian Spirit

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Magna Grecia - Aleneva (Kodiac)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%0/1G Nicholls
223037
4.0

Not disgraced on first run since leaving William Knight when 5¼ lengths seventh of 10 to Distillation in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) 16 days ago. Has work to do to reverse the form with that rival, though.

Class Advantage

7/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/01 · mark par7/0114/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/01 · mark par2/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%7/01Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%2/02Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%6/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%21/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
7
OR 55300/1
Lady Fizz silks

Fizzy Fillies Syndicate

Lady Fizz

3yo Filly · 9-9

Expert Eye - Sea Of Marmoon (Golden Horn)

Dominique Van Der Kraats−7lbI Mohammed & J Santos
869
3.0Class ↓4

Just poor form at best in 3 runs to date but at least now gets a crack at a low-grade handicap.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/042/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0723/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%15/04Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 38%2/07Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 27%23/07
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
6
OR 5511/1
Singarda silks

D Bishop, S Bland & T Coyle

Singarda

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Zoustar - Roppongi (Frankel)

D Nolan0/4T Coyle & K Wood80%
579456
3.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Followed a good run with a below-par one when sixth of 7 in handicap at Ripon (1m, good) 19 days ago. Possibilities if bouncing back.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/0429/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%16/04Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%14/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%3/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%18/07
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 5122/1
Hear The Drums silks

Greenall, Huddlestone

Hear The Drums

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Lope Y Fernandez - Bonnie Brae (Mujahid)

O J Orr60%0/5R A Fahey80%
891087
3.0Class ↓3

Successful in the mud at Leicester (7f) in October but has offered little in 3 runs this season.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0830/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par28/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%25/08Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%28/10Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%21/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 54%16/06
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
10
OR 4550/1
Go Teejay silks

980 Racing

Go Teejay

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Tasleet - Florenza (Haafhd)

Alex Jary60%0/1Craig Lidster60%
088609
2.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Has little ability and looked a hard ride to boot at Newcastle last time.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0519/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%29/05Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 13%7/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%25/07
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
8
OR 5033/1
Soda silks

Neville Rodgers & Gt

Soda

3yo Filly · 9-4

Dawn Approach - Stylish One (Invincible Spirit)

Connor Beasley60%0/1G Tutty
33509
3.0

Lightly-raced maiden who seemed unsuited by a return to sprinting when ninth of 11 in handicap at Carlisle (6f, firm) 28 days ago. Step back up in trip an obvious plus on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/048/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%22/04Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%8/05Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%5/06Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%20/06Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%9/07
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
9
OR 45200/1
Retro Rocket silks

Mr Roger Harrison

Retro Rocket

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Rich History - Glamour Time (Teofilo)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbM Keighley
076
3.0

Big prices and well held all 3 starts. Significantly back up in trip for handicap debut.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0615/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/064/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 10%1/06Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 40%15/06Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%4/07
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend