14:20 · Musselburgh

Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 815/1
Jonny Concrete silks

Mr Ian Jones

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Oasis Dream - Hot Sauce (Peintre Celebre)

Jack Nicholls60%1/1I Jardine60%
032441
8.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Made the frame over 6f first 4 starts of the campaign (beaten favourite on each occasion), before getting back to winning ways in 18-runner contest at York (7f) 2 weeks ago. Can give another good account.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/098/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%19/09Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%17/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 84%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%4/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%24/07
Projected finish1st of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Market Fav2
OR 855/4
Eagle Bay silks

Daniel Hunt Wrigleys And Cassels

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Cable Bay - Fondie (Oasis Dream)

S D Bowen60%1/1H Bethell
311
8.0Going 9.0

Promising third on debut for Ed Walker last autumn. Impressed in making it 2-2 for current yard this year, following up his Thirsk success with another dominant all-the-way win at Chester 6 weeks ago. Can make another bold bid now handicapping, though has widest draw to overcome.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/105/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0627/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%18/10Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%27/06
Projected finish2nd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 8528/1
Passing Thought silks

Kingsdown Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-10

Showcasing - Passefontaine (Wootton Bassett)

K Shoemark60%1/3E Walker
721710
5.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Showed much improved form on seasonal/handicap debut when doubling her tally at Wetherby (7f) in April. Met trouble in running when mid-field in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot (1m), so she could fare better back down in trip/grade.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/0722/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par19/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%21/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%26/04Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 55%19/06
Projected finish3rd of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
6
OR 7812/1
Zarvali silks

Swales & Fell

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Dandy Man - Zunera (Invincible Spirit)

Joanna Mason60%Roger Fell
521637
5.0

Trained by John Patrick Murtagh last year, showed improved form upped to 7f on seasonal/stable debut when winning a Catterick novice in May. Ran well in handicaps next 2 outings, before below-par effort tried over 1m at York last time.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0822/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%28/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%11/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 74%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%16/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%10/07
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
7
OR 729/2
Native Honey silks

Belgate Racing Limited

4yo Gelding · 9-3

Dawn Approach - Meala (Epaulette)

P Mulrennan60%3/7J S Goldie
710015
5.0

All 3 career victories over 7f at Ayr, taking advantage of drop into a class 5 last month. However, his form has been in and out this season, last of 5 at the same course 11 days ago.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par3/0520/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par30/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 14%3/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 23%30/05Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%27/07
Projected finish5th of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
10
OR 8012/1
Misunderstood silks

Mr M J Macleod & Mr S Graham

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Hello Youmzain - Waldjagd (Observatory)

D Tudhope60%0/2D O'Meara80%
657677
3.0Class ↓4
1st Hood +1

Smart form at best in France. Lost his way during 2025 but has shaped as if building up to something for current yard this season, weakening only late on when length seventh of 18 to Jonny Concrete at York 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/111/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par21/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%6/11Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%21/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%6/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 65%24/07
Projected finish6th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 8016/1
Gweedore silks

Lamont Racing

9yo Gelding · 9-11

Epaulette - Ares Choix (Choisir)

T Eaves60%K Scott80%
170400
3.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

5-time C&D winner, with his latest success in November. Yet to fully fire this season, though he's dropped to a handy mark as a result. Worth another chance back here with blinkers on first time and a low draw to work from.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/114/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par17/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par21/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%5/11Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%17/04Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%13/06Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%6/07
Projected finish7th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
OR 826/1
Augustus Gloop silks

Justwow

3yo Gelding · 9-7

St Mark's Basilica - Minnaloushe (Lawman)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/4J R Fanshawe80%
212674
4.0

Won at Newcastle (6f) final start last year and good second on handicap debut at Wolverhampton in January. After a couple of lesser efforts, got back on track following a break (had been gelded) when fourth of 9 at Wolverhampton (7f) 3 weeks ago. Interesting on turf debut.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/0928/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par16/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par4/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%13/09Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%6/01Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%4/03Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%17/07
Projected finish8th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
8
OR 7933/1
Vixey silks

Mr Allan Davies

6yo Mare · 9-10

Cable Bay - Valoria (Hernando)

Aiden Brookes4/19S G West
335820
4.0Going 10.0

4-time winner at around 7f in 2025 and stepped forward from this season's reappearance with a good second at Chester in July. Found things tougher at Goodwood 10 days ago (also sweated up beforehand), but she's back down in grade here.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/101/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par26/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/11 · mark par24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%10/10Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%26/11Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%11/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%28/07
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
9
OR 6711/1
Ashen silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Phoenix Of Spain - Fly On The Night (Equiano)

Lauren Young0/4−5lbJ S Goldie
313420
5.0

Not long with present stable when opening account at Ayr in May. Continued in good heart when making the frame next 3 starts, before left with a lot to do when never involved in race won by Jonny Concrete 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/045/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%26/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%19/06Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%11/07Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 35%24/07
Projected finish10th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
11
OR 7522/1
One Night Thunder silks

Grange Park Racing Xix

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Night Of Thunder - Elis Eliz (Lord Shanakill)

O McSweeneyG Tutty
290387
3.0Going 8.0
Hood

Recorded back-to-back 7f wins at Carlisle in September. Encouraging third at Haydock on second run back this season, before below-par efforts over 1m the last twice. Back down to his last winning mark and return to this trip should be more suitable.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/0930/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 92%23/09Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%18/04Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%11/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 45%25/07
Projected finish11th of 11
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend