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15:40 · Thirsk

Country Music Night Here Next Friday 14th August Handicap

6fGoing TBCClass 63YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 657/1
Maximum Velocity silks

In For A Penny Partnership & Partner

Maximum Velocity

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Dandy Man - Remember Alexander (Teofilo)

Faye McManoman0/1N Tinkler60%
201932
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Made all to open his account in a 7f Redcar handicap in May. Much sharper for the fitting of first-time cheekpieces when career-best second (clear of rest) at Leicester (6f) latest. Only picked off by a closer that day, and he may just meet a similar fate here.

Class Advantage

13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par13/0425/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 94%13/04Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 18%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%26/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%22/07
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 6317/2
Great Profit silks

Miss E Johnston

Great Profit

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Profitable - Piccola Sissi (Footstepsinthesand)

Barry McHugh70%0/4W G Harrison
648222
7.0

Much improved in recent weeks, making it a hat-trick of seconds in handicap company behind a well-treated one at Ayr last time (also lost a shoe). Fancied to gain compensation in a race that should set up nicely.

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/062/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%21/06Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 30%18/05Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%16/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%27/07
Projected finish2nd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
6
OR 6410/3
Yellow Diamonds silks

Verity, Pritchard & Simpson

Yellow Diamonds

3yo Filly · 9-8

Invincible Spirit - Flaming Princess (Hot Streak)

Ryan Sexton0/5Miss J A Camacho
104445
4.0

Musselburgh novice winner for Kevin Philippart de Foy last year. Respectable start for current yard, though never looked like justifying support following a tardy start at Thirsk latest. Interesting to see if money comes again now eased further in grade.

Class Advantage

1/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par1/104/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%1/10Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%23/05Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%25/06Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%16/07
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
2
OR 5212/1
Liquid Cooled silks

Mps Racing Ltd & Ben Haslam

Liquid Cooled

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Mehmas - Leen (Danehill Dancer)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbB Haslam
701435
5.0

Low-mileage 3-y-o. Gelded before winning on handicap debut at Newcastle (6f) in March. Backed that up with in-frame finishes at Pontefract/Wetherby prior to a lesser effort on return from 11 weeks off at Nottingham last time. May step forward from that with capable apprentice taking over.

Class Advantage

9/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/1219/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%9/12Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%11/03Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%26/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%17/07
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
4
OR 544/1
Lope Y Linda silks

Mount Pleasant Racing & Ptr

Lope Y Linda

3yo Filly · 8-12

Lope Y Fernandez - Dhuma (Falco)

D Allan60%1/5T D Easterby
201244
6.0

Free-going type who's won twice around 7f at Ayr/Catterick. Went off too hard at Leicester (1m) latest. Return to sprinting/sharper track could suit and has a fair record under David Allan.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0616/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%5/06Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%14/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%22/07
Projected finish5th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Market Fav7
OR 633/1
Overbudget silks

Matt Broughton & Hold My Beer Syndicat

Overbudget

3yo Filly · 9-7

Mehmas - L'age D'or (Iffraaj)

A Mullen70%M Appleby
228376
4.0Going 8.0

€115,000 Mehmas filly. Placed on each start in novice/maiden company but no impact in handicaps for Dylan Cunha. Still looks a shade high in the weights on first start for capable new stable.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/1031/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%21/10Pos 2 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%4/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%26/06
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 5822/1
Soul Warrior silks

D Jenkins J Glover R O'donnell J Short

Soul Warrior

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Invincible Spirit - Alsindi (Acclamation)

Alex Jary60%1/6N Tinkler
818035
4.0

Surprise winner (40/1) of 6f Redcar nursery last September. Standout effort this season when beaten less than 2 lengths in this grade at Ripon (6f) last month. Returns to his age group following lesser effort on first try over 7f at Ayr latest.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0924/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par21/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 42%8/09Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%6/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%20/07
Projected finish7th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 5425/1
Hellcat silks

Vesper Solis Racing

Hellcat

3yo Filly · 8-12

Mayson - Vixen (Kodiac)

Alexandra Egan60%−7lbR Burdon
809306
3.0Class ↓3

Lightly-raced 3-y-o. Hasn't kicked on from promising second start for current yard on the all-weather in May, making a complete mess of the start at Wolverhampton last time.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0715/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%26/07Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%18/04Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 15%14/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%7/07
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
8
OR 5211/2
Agric Ranger silks

Habton Racing

Agric Ranger

3yo Gelding · 8-10

Aclaim - Spirit Ranger (Invincible Spirit)

D FentimanT D Easterby
54757
3.0

Modest 3-y-o maiden. Looked ready for this step back up in trip when trailing the field at Southwell last time. Yard has better-fancied runner in the race.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0416/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%7/04Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%16/04Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%29/04Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%30/05Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%23/07
Projected finish9th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
11
OR 629/1
Real Jack silks

Mr Michael Moses & Mr Terry Moses

Real Jack

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Ubettabelieveit - Ellen Gates (Mayson)

Connor Beasley0/1M Dods
726567
3.0

Much improved when second in a Newcastle novice (5f) on final 2-y-o start in November. Hasn't made a significant impact in handicaps this year but forgiven latest when too keen in cheekpieces (now discarded) at Ayr (7f). Returns to sprinting and been given a chance by the handicapper.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/1124/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%4/11Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 55%7/04Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 58%5/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%20/06
Projected finish10th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
10
OR 5722/1
Mare Of London silks

Ursa Major & Mark Walford Racing Club

Mare Of London

3yo Filly · 9-1

Havana Grey - Concello (Society Rock)

S H James80%M Walford
525667
3.0Class ↓3

Modest form at 2 for George Scott. Sold for only 5,000 gns last autumn. Stepped up on return/stable debut when beaten under 4 lengths in 5f course handicap latest. Hard to be confident she'll find the required improvement back up in trip.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/055/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%7/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%6/07Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%24/07
Projected finish11th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend