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19:20 · Finger Lakes

Race 6 - Allowance

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 83
5/1
Not For Hire silks

Windylea Farm Llc

Not For Hire

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Not This Time - She's A Truckin (Lemon Drop Kid)

Joel Cruz60%Jonathan Buckley60%
221313
7.0Class ↓1Going 8.0

Class Advantage

10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1027/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%10/10Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 89
8/5
Probability silks

The Elkstone Group Llc (stuart Grant)

Probability

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Improbable - Perazzi (Curlin)

Christopher Elliott2/2Amelia Green60%
218011
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par27/0222/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%27/02Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%17/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/13 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.3%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 80
7/2
Beach Invasion silks

Kevin Stedman

Beach Invasion

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Omaha Beach - Goodnight Moon (Malibu Moon)

Keiber Coa60%3/4M Ferraro60%
221112
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par27/028/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%27/02Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.3%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 88
4/1
Go Yoshida silks

M Ferraro

Go Yoshida

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Yoshida - Kat O Mine (Mineshaft)

Luis Perez60%M Ferraro60%
114244
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par22/029/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%22/02Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%4/08Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 40%19/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.9%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 85
6/1
Big Rich silks

Timothy Murphy

Big Rich

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Bolt D'oro - Generosity (Unbridled's Song)

Emanuel Diego De60%0/6Timothy Murphy60%
322472
6.0

Class Advantage

16/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par16/061/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%16/06Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%15/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%12/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%7/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.6%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 74
12/1
Janssen silks

Antonio Carrasquel

Janssen

5yo Horse · 8-9

Accelerate - Fabuleux (Bodemeister)

Jacqueline Davis60%0/2Julie Pierson
343753
5.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/0510/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%18/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%4/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%19/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.2%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 68
15/1
Lucas's Mischief silks

R T Racing Stable

Lucas's Mischief

4yo Colt · 8-9

Into Mischief - Harvestfortheworld (So You Think)

Kevin Navarro60%Jose Jimenez70%
662136
5.0

Class Advantage

17/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/0115/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par13/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/01Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%13/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%18/07Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%4/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.2%Ahead 2/4