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19:18 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight

1m 1f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 96
3/1
Top Drawer silks

Juddmonte

Top Drawer

3yo Colt · 8-8

Munnings - Touch The Star (Tapit)

Axel Concepcion0/2B Cox60%
32
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a5/071/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%5/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%1/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.5%Ahead 2/2
4
Market Fav2
OR 91
2/1
Cromwell silks

Belladonna Racing Llc, Twin Brook Stables, Corser Thoroughbreds, Llc, B C W T , Ltd And Taylor Creek

Cromwell

4yo Colt · 8-12

Quality Road - Borealis Night (Astrology)

Jose Ortiz70%0/6Cherie Devaux
440242
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/023/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par7/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 63%15/02Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%28/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%2/05Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 86%7/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.1%Ahead 0/4
3
4
OR 83
12/1
Bold Stand silks

Godolphin, Llc

Bold Stand

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Curlin - Indulgent (Bernardini)

Alex Achard60%0/2Eoin Harty
0922
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

11/01 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a11/0121/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/037/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0510/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%11/01Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%21/03Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%7/05Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%10/06
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.5%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 87
10/1
El Tio silks

Stone Bridge Farm

El Tio

3yo Colt · 8-8

Uncle Mo - Roughing (Eskendereya)

Gerardo CorralesRobert Medina
74882
4.0

Class Advantage

24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a24/0427/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/0619/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/0721/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%24/04Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%27/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%19/07Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%21/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.2%Ahead 4/4
7
3
OR 88
8/1
Liberty Valance silks

Cherry Knoll Farm And Clohessy, Barry

Liberty Valance

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Constitution - Gone To Town (Munnings)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/1Brendan Walsh
22388
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/107/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par21/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par17/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%4/10Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 90%7/11Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%21/12Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 36%17/01Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%21/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 91
4/1
Don's Winner silks

Anthony Tate

Don's Winner

3yo Colt · 8-8

Game Winner - Map Maker (Liam's Map)

Luis Saez60%0/1Joe Sharp
8245
4.0

Class Advantage

17/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/057/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/061/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/0829/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%17/05Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%7/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%1/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 2/4
2
7
6/1
Safety Off silks

Flanagan Racing

Safety Off

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Gun Runner - If Not For Her (Not For Love)

Jareth Loveberry60%Whitworth Beckman
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 814% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength68%
5
8
12/1
Mr. Tapps silks

Winchester Place Thoroughbreds Llc

Mr. Tapps

3yo Colt · 8-8

American Pharoah - Sweet Tapper (Tapit)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Michael McCarthy
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 80% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength37%