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13:24 · Ffos Las

Bridge, Family Run And Proud Handicap

5fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 49
7/4
Some Nightmare silks

Mrs S M Maine & Mr Roger Gould & Partn

Some Nightmare

9yo Gelding · 9-8

Dream Ahead - Isolde's Return (Avonbridge)

William Carson60%2/14J G M O'Shea60%
373223
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Ground-versatile C&D winner. Has been running well in his bid to snap a losing streak stretching back to last summer, getting within ½-length of in-form Macarone at Bath (6f, good to firm) latest. Capable of running another big race off a handy-looking mark.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/0731/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%16/07Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%9/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%31/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%12/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 45
25/1
Bama Lama silks

Canisbay Bloodstock

Bama Lama

8yo Mare · 9-4

Equiano - Kindia (Cape Cross)

Saffie Osborne70%0/1B R Millman90%
766696
3.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Quirky C&D winner. Tumbled in weights since last win in October 2024. Friendless in the betting/hasn't fired this season, latterly 6¾ lengths behind Call Time here (6f, soft, 33/1) last Monday. Could be worth a chance in first-time blinkers with Saffie Osborne taking over, especially if supported.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/0914/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%9/09Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%15/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%7/09Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.5%Ahead 4/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 50
13/8
Call Time silks

The 19th Hole Syndicate & J S Moore

Call Time

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Soldier's Call - Broken Time (Iffraaj)

Millie Wonnacott60%−5lbJ S Moore60%
076351
7.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Seems best on soft/heavy ground. Built on promise of his previous run when seeing off 2 last-time-out winners to score over 6f here (soft) on Monday. Still potentially well-treated under a 5-lb penalty and looks more straightforward than he did last season, too.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/046/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%5/04Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 62%13/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 43%2/09Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.9%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 48
9/4
Outer Edge silks

Int Plywood (lmporters) Ltd And C Maso

Outer Edge

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Due Diligence - Edged Out (Piccolo)

Gina Mangan2/21C Mason60%
454534
5.0
Visor

Popped up with a win (off higher marks) in each of the previous 2 years. Finished 1¼ lengths behind next-time-out winner Macarone in a 6f course handicap last month. Backed that up with close fourth in blanket finish at Bath (5f, good to soft) subsequently. Should be thereabouts.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par27/1023/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%27/10Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%29/06Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%27/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%13/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.6%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 45
50/1
Snow Day silks

Lpog

Snow Day

3yo Filly · 9-3

Aclaim - Neige D'antan (Aussie Rules)

Jack Doughty0/1A W Carroll60%
008669
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Lightly-raced 3-y-o who has achieved little at long odds in 6f/7f races to date. Hard to be confident of better dropped to the minimum trip here.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/096/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 0%20/09Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 30%5/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%31/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4