13:59 · Ffos Las

Happy Birthday Alex, From The Bridge Handicap

2mGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav2
OR 75
6/4
Carthusian silks

The Carthusians

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Lope De Vega - Chartreuse (Lawman)

Liam Wright60%1/1J Candlish
079741
5.0

Didn't manage to win for Jessica Harrington in Ireland but put that right on first start for new yard when landing 10-runner handicap at Chester (14.4f, heavy, 9/1) 8 days ago, well on top finish. Clearly handles deep ground well and big shout again on back of a 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par14/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 57%24/05Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%26/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%14/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.7%Ahead 1/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 74
9/4
Campeona silks

Miss K Rausing

3yo Filly · 9-6

Study Of Man - Cubanita (Selkirk)

Jack Gilligan60%Sir Mark Prescott70%
211123
7.0Going 9.0
Cheek pieces

Steadily progressive in handicaps on turf this summer, bringing up the hat-trick at Lingfield (2m) in August. Made the frame both starts since, having every chance when third of 6 at Kempton (2m) 3 weeks ago. Current mark does look to demand further progress now, however.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0715/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%1/07Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%16/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.6%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 60
4/1
Queenie St Clair silks

Team Tristar (uk) Ltd

6yo Mare · 9-1

Fast Company - Marmalade Cat (Duke Of Marmalade)

Millie Wonnacott60%−5lbNick Scholfield
540570
6.0Class ↓4
Hood

Fair form on Flat in Ireland and much improved following yard switch over hurdles last season, winning 3 times, latterly at Kelso (2m) in March. Struggled up in grade on final start but returns to this sphere from what could prove a very lenient mark given hurdle exploits. Has gone well fresh.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par26/123/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par22/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par28/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par21/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par18/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par18/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%26/12Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%22/02Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%18/04
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 65
8/1
No Ordinary Joe silks

Mrs V James

10yo Gelding · 9-6

Getaway - Shadow Dearg (Beneficial)

Finley Marsh70%R Stephens60%
944
4.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

A fairly useful but inconsistent hurdler nowadays who hasn't gone without promise in a trio of novice events at up to 11f for new yard in recent weeks. Tongue strap quickly reapplied for handicap debut off what could well prove a lenient opening mark. One to monitor in the betting for clues.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/049/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par24/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par5/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%24/05Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 40%2/09Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%12/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.4%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 63
10/1
A Daughters Love silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

3yo Filly · 8-9

Mohaather - Loving Touch (Nathaniel)

David Probert70%D Flood70%
012486
4.0Going 8.0

Resumed her progress for current handler with most emphatic success in 10-runner handicap at this course (1½m) last month and posted good second here next time. Exploits have proved mixed since and forecast conditions have to be a concern having finished well held on soft ground here 6 days ago.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/074/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par21/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 7%25/07Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%12/08Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 46%10/09Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%21/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 1/4