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17:39 · Fort Erie

Race 4 - Allowance

1mGoing TBC3YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 81
8/5
Go Go Alexander silks

Mary Biamonte

Go Go Alexander

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Souper Speedy - Ascot Hailey (English Channel)

Juan Crawford60%1/1Sharon Ceccato70%
341421
9.0

Class Advantage

14/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/066/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par24/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par14/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%14/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 80%30/08Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.5%Ahead 3/4
4
2
OR 65
5/2
Ilikeitwhenitsnows silks

Carter, Douglas C And Carter, Teri

Ilikeitwhenitsnows

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Seattle Serenade - Lucky Melissa (Mobil)

Leo Salles60%2/5Doug Carter60%
245116
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

23/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/0929/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%23/09Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%12/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%30/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 76
7/2
Times A Breeze silks

Hopefield Farm

Times A Breeze

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Not This Time - Sheer Enchantment (Archers Bay)

Jeffrey Alderson60%Roy Agostino
554534
4.0

Class Advantage

15/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par15/1114/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%15/11Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%7/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%11/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 0/4
1
6
OR 70
6/1
Back River silks

Nadezda Dohnalova

Back River

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Reload - Forgotten Liaison (Liaison)

Desean Bynoe60%0/2Desmond Maynard60%
552320
4.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/075/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par20/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%9/09Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%11/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.3%Ahead 1/4
6
3
OR 81
20/1
Audax Minor silks

Robert Smith

Audax Minor

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Danish Dynaformer - Miss Medaglia (Medaglia D'oro)

Ismael Mosqueira60%Steven Cathcart60%
474430
4.0
Blinkers

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0510/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par11/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%28/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%31/08Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%11/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.9%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 81
10/1
Catholic Jackie silks

John Di Matteo

Catholic Jackie

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Catholic Boy - Pomarine (Aptitude)

Brian Cheyne60%0/3Roy Agostino
542424
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0619/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%12/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%21/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.5%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 67
12/1
Princessonamission silks

Squires, Vidal And Squires, Lamar

Princessonamission

6yo Mare · 8-7

Noble Mission - Silver Princess (Old Forester)

Kirk JohnsonSue Andrushko
652471
7.0

Class Advantage

30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par30/0620/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%30/06Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%11/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%4/09Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 2/4