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18:30 · Newcastle

Get Raceday Ready Handicap

7f 14yGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 67
9/4
Espanita silks

Kingsley Park 41

Espanita

3yo Filly · 9-7

Phoenix Of Spain - Furia Cruzada (Newfoundland)

Connor Beasley60%1/1C Johnston
616312
7.0
Hood

Successful 3 times this year, twice over 7f at Wolverhampton and adding to her tally at Lingfield (1m) in September. Improved in defeat when narrowly denied back at Wolverhampton (8.5f) 10 days ago. Strong contender.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/0731/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%6/07Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%17/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%21/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 69
5/1
If I Could Dream silks

Summerstorm Bloodstock Ltd

If I Could Dream

3yo Filly · 9-9

Oasis Dream - Fleet Street (Pivotal)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbS Hanlon70%
303093
4.0Going 10.0Class ↓3
1st Visor +2

Ran to a fair level as a juvenile and, fitted with cheekpieces, left behind first 2 starts this year when third of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.5f) in July. Task is now to build on latest effort on first run since leaving George Scott (switches to a visor).

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/0811/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%30/08Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 80%17/10Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%13/06Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 82%6/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.5%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 66
6/1
Berlinetta silks

Opulence Thoroughbreds

Berlinetta

3yo Filly · 9-6

Pinatubo - Marie Of Lyon (Royal Applause)

Billy Loughnane70%J Channon
755148
4.0

Made second start for this trainer a winning one in handicap at Windsor (1m) in July. Not discredited on first try over 7f when eighth of 14 at Newmarket 12 days ago, meeting trouble in running, and drops back in grade here.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/01 · mark par6/0126/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par19/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%6/01Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%17/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%15/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 46%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 68
12/1
March Ahead silks

Mrs A Plumbridge

March Ahead

3yo Filly · 9-8

Dream Ahead - Dance On The Day (Epaulette)

P Mulrennan60%0/1B Smart
618457
4.0Class ↓3

Won 6f Carlisle novice last summer, leaving Kevin Ryan after final outing that year. Hasn't offered much in 2 starts this season, though possibly needed the run after a further 3 months off when mid-field here 26 days ago. This should reveal more back up in trip.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0720/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par27/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%18/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%11/09Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%27/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 54%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.6%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 67
4/1
Egotistical silks

Varian Racing Xi

Egotistical

3yo Filly · 9-7

Acclamation - Self Centred (Medicean)

Ross Coakley0/1R Varian60%
317424
5.0Going 8.0

Opened her account at the fourth attempt in a 6f novice at Redcar in April. Hasn't kicked on in handicaps, though shaped as if worth a try over further when fourth of 7 at Kempton (6f) last time. Merits consideration for much-respected yard.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0430/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%18/04Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 14%2/06Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%17/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%2/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -46.3%Ahead 0/4
2
Value2
OR 68
33/1
Henry Halflight silks

Foulrice Park Racing Limited

Henry Halflight

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Dawn Approach - Luminaria (Danehill)

Billy Garritty60%1/4L Bailey
27180
4.0

Confirmed his debut promise at the second attempt when winning a C&D maiden in March. However, has failed to beat a rival in 2 handicaps since, returning from 5 months off when tailed off at Redcar (1m) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0115/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 75%31/01Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%15/02Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%12/03Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%5/04Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 67
14/1
Kody B silks

Mr David K Barker

Kody B

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Dark Angel - Kodinar (Kodiac)

Shane Gray60%Craig Lidster60%
045667
3.0
Cheek pieces

Never-nearer fourth at Hamilton (6f) on second start this season but below that level since, running poorly back up to this trip when well held at Thirsk 17 days ago. Needs to get back on track as he makes all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/0417/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par15/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%14/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%11/07Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%27/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%14/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 1/4
10
8
OR 61
14/1
Rousham silks

Owners Group 147

Rousham

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Bobby's Kitten - Roubles (Speightstown)

Faye McManoman1/6N Tinkler
210460
3.0
Hood

Not straightforward but made a winning handicap debut at Redcar in May. Shaped best before failing to keep straight when fourth of C&D in June, though has been below form both starts since.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0526/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%8/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 13 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 13 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 14%14/06Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%17/07Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%9/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 63
10/1
Record Day silks

Mrs Claire Ellison

Record Day

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Showcasing - Airwaves (Monsieur Bond)

Rowan Scott60%B Ellison60%
937805
2.0
Blinkers

Made the frame in C&D novice on second start and best effort when close third in handicap at Thirsk (6f) in June. In first-time blinkers, fared better than of late when fifth of 11 back at Thirsk 17 days ago. Could be in the mix back up in trip.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0516/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%23/05Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 45%25/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 23%5/09Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%14/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.6%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 65
16/1
Kilfrush Desert silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

Kilfrush Desert

3yo Filly · 9-5

Earthlight - Noura Star (Territories)

T Eaves0/2K A Ryan
32288
4.0Going 7.0

Showed improved form when runner-up in maidens on first 2 starts this year, including at this course (6f). Down the field in handicaps the last twice, though was possibly unsuited by soft ground at Hamilton on latest outing. Has something to find up in trip.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/0420/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 14y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 82%16/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%20/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%17/06Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%12/08Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%2/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4