12:58 · Nottingham

Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery

6f 18yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 79
12/1
Tumishi silks

Alison Swinburn And Mark Sartori

2yo Colt · 9-3

Havana Grey - Balancing Act (No Nay Never)

Daniel Muscutt70%1/4J R Fanshawe60%
4317
5.0Going 8.0

Overcame trouble in running to narrowly get off the mark in 6f Ffos Las maiden (good to firm) in August and made a sound enough start to his nursery career when seventh (Pride of Toledo fifth) of 15 at Doncaster St Leger meeting.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0625/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0727/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%3/06Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%25/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%11/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 4/4
9
6
OR 73
6/1
Musical Force silks

Mr J C Smith

2yo Filly · 8-11

Land Force - Gift Of Music (Cadeaux Genereux)

Kaiya Fraser70%0/1Harry Eustace
931
6.0

Left her first 2 efforts well behind when making it third time lucky in 6f Lingfield maiden (all-weather). May do better again but it'll be needed to defy this opening mark.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0621/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/0718/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%18/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%21/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%18/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.1%Ahead 3/3
1
7
OR 85
6/1
Pride Of Toledo silks

AlMohamediya Racing

2yo Colt · 9-9

No Nay Never - Zain Art (Excellent Art)

Callum Rodriguez60%1/2C G Cox
5145
5.0

Won a 6f Salisbury novice in July. Acquitted himself well when fourth in a valuable sales race at York next time. Not in quite the same form when fifth of 15 on 6f Doncaster nursery since but the fact he went off favourite suggests he's thought to be on a good mark.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0725/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0720/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0811/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%2/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 84%20/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.9%Ahead 2/4
10
3
OR 72
5/1
Horndean silks

Mr P W Harris

2yo Colt · 8-10

Hello Youmzain - Episodia (Palace Episode)

S M Levey70%Adam Kirby60%
3462
5.0
Tongue strap

Made the frame in a couple of maidens which have been working out well and duly took a step forward when second of 12 on 6f Lingfield nursery debut 3 weeks ago, pulling clear of the rest. Up 4 lb but still respected.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0615/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0717/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/0810/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 83%22/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%15/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%17/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%10/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 79
20/1
Undercover Affair silks

Mr P D Evans

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Havana Grey - Secret Romance (Sakhee's Secret)

Marco Ghiani60%P D Evans80%
231857
4.0Class ↓3

Registered a second win in 3-runner Windsor nursery in July but has found things harder since, running poorly at Sandown when last seen 5 weeks ago. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/062/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par7/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%20/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%28/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.0%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 79
14/1
Washington Royale silks

Mr Wayne Brackstone, Mr Steve Whitear

2yo Colt · 9-3

Washington Dc - Sofia Royale (Royal Applause)

K Stott70%M Appleby
45518
5.0

Confirmed promise of Glorious Goodwood fifth when comfortably winning 6f Chepstow maiden (soft) in August. Unable to repeat that form when behind Pride of Toledo and Tumishi in Doncaster nursery since but things didn't really go his way and worth another chance to show what he can do from his mark.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0610/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%27/06Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%10/07Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 71%28/07Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 76
6/1
Donna Beauty silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Filly · 9-0

Starspangledbanner - Good Donna (Doyen)

Callum Shepherd70%C Johnston
671
6.0
Hood

Has looked an awkward ride but more straightforward when making all in 6f Chester novice (soft) 3 weeks ago. An opening mark in the mid-70s demands more of her, though.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0530/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0711/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength56%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%3/05Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 2/3
2
Market Fav4
OR 84
9/2
Pure Mint silks

Maurice Manasseh Et Al

2yo Colt · 9-8

Minzaal - Its A Given (Bated Breath)

Harry Davies60%1/1S & E Crisford
16
6.0Going 8.0

Sent off at 11/10 and looked potentially useful when a ready winner on his 6f Ripon debut (good to firm) in July. Disappointing when at 8/15 at Ascot since but getting upset in stalls may have impacted his performance. Evidently well regarded but his good stable.

Class Advantage

27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/074/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 6 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 6 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 17%4/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.4%Ahead 1/2
8
10
OR 76
8/1
Farasan silks

Prince A A Faisal

2yo Colt · 9-0

Teofilo - Endless Charm (Dubawi)

W Buick70%J & T Gosden60%
644
4.0

Hasn't progressed in his qualifying runs but no surprise were that to change now handicapping. Market confidence could prove significant for top stable.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/082/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/0914/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%7/08Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 73%2/09Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%14/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.1%Ahead 0/3
6
9
OR 76
7/1
Kingdom Of Kush silks

A Elnour And Ahmed Ati

2yo Colt · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Awesome Kitty (Australia)

Ray Dawson60%0/1R Varian60%
24
6.0

Promising second on 6.5f Newbury debut. Failed to confirm that when a well-held fourth over 7f on softer ground at Sandown 3 weeks later but he was keener than ideal and this drop back to 6f may suit now making a quick switch to handicaps. Retains potential.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0816/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 18y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 86%26/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%16/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.7%Ahead 0/2